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but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a pollare romney leading first. it's one-third hispic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here'she point i want to make. the polls today reare regarded t microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years o when you were still doing this ow because of your tenacity, and because ofowmy leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls ofwee regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these pos today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precis, why do politicians spend that much money on them? >> they are false idols. they are worshiping the false idol. >> the media are more obsessed with polling than before. they sho
but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a pollare romney leading first. it's one-third hispic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here'she point i want to make. the polls today reare regarded t...
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on the hee of stops in nevada, colorado, and iowa. romney's day won't end until midnight after an election evef rally in manchester, new hampshire. >> woodruff: late monday in a surprise move romney announced he will hit the trail one final time torrow touching down on election rray in both pennsylvania and ohio.ay rgaret talked with romy's r communications director, gail gitcho, about the campaign's micro-targeting "get out the vote" effort, called the orca project, named for the killer whale. find that video online. >> ifill: coming up, we'll have the end to theor campaign, including the final push in ohio; state of the race analysis from rothenberg, page, and kohut; voter access to polling places, and initiatives on the ballot; plus, the slow recovery after the storm, and a day in the life of a hard-hit brooklyn neighborhood. but first, with the other news of the day, here's hari sreenivasan. >> woodruff: the violence in syria swept up a new group today. fighting raged near a palestinian fugee camp in southern damascus. iativists s
on the hee of stops in nevada, colorado, and iowa. romney's day won't end until midnight after an election evef rally in manchester, new hampshire. >> woodruff: late monday in a surprise move romney announced he will hit the trail one final time torrow touching down on election rray in both pennsylvania and ohio.ay rgaret talked with romy's r communications director, gail gitcho, about the campaign's micro-targeting "get out the vote" effort, called the orca project, named for...
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if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back to you. >> the following two breaking stories tonight. a commuter train hit and killed a person. no word on what led to the identity of the victim. shuttles have been taking some passengers to their death nations. delays are not expected to have an impact on the commute in the morning. >>> a 75-year-old man was critically injured in an apartment fire. and firefighters found him in the basement of the apartments on generals highway in crownsville. the cause of this fire is still under investigation. >> tonight, a father is facing charges after his 4-year-old child fell on the high-rise apartment
if president obama wins nevada, iowa and pennsylvania, nevada, iowa, and pennsylvania, and let's say mitt romney wins colorado, new hampshire, and florida. new hampshire, colorado, that leaves three toss-ups. wisconsin, ohio, and the old dominion. so if the candidates split, ohio and wisconsin, neither one of them gets to the 270 electoral votes needed to win without virginia. and the final nbc news wall street journal poll before this election, it shows virginia in a statistic call tie. back...
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Nov 5, 2012
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in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the thirdf november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 battleground states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two, wisconsin and nev dismef and wisconsin, he is only at 50% because there is 1 pole, an outliwer an 8-point lead. we have gone from cruise into victory in 2008, to a tight, tight, tight race in 2012. >> chris: lanlast question. what do you make of romney going to pennsylvania today? what do you make of obama with last-minute ad buys in florida and virginia? who's got in wind at the back? who is serious? hois bluffing? >> they are all serious and they are not bluffing. president obama has difficulty in florida and virginia two, states where the real clear politics average goes to romney. and penns
in would argue that mash -- michigan and nevada should be leaning obama before last week. we have a very close election. and it is going to be decided on election night with -- with a bunch of potential surprises. >> chris: you have a white board. >> think about this. on the thirdf november, 2008, president obamma was at or above 50% in 7 of the 13 battleground states that year. in those same state this is year, on same date, 4 years later, he is 50%, not above, but 50% in just two,...
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Nov 6, 2012
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iowa, nevada, florida, new hampshire on romney side. here is the point. you been to mcconnell sert. the maller band opens up and then wait for the headline act. do you find it strange that springstein opened for jay-toss make jay-z the bigger act? >> greg: he is the bigger act. average age of springstein fan is 87. >> bob: 18,000, that is a huge crowd. >> dana: buck county with 30,000. challengers get bigger crowd on the weekend. give romney credit, they have big turn-outs, but there is hatred of obama. >> kimberly: i don't think it's hatred. they're motivated and inspired about someone with ideas. >> eric: we like capitalism. >> kimberly: we have to get out of here. >> dana: campaign carl is on the road with romney. he has update on the strategy to win in the states ohio and pennsylvania tomorrow. that's next. ♪ ♪ i was having trouble getting out of bed in the morning because my back hurt so bad. the sleep number bed conforms to you. i wake up in the morning with no back pain. i can adjust it if i need to...if my back's a little more sore. and by the time i get up in the mornin
iowa, nevada, florida, new hampshire on romney side. here is the point. you been to mcconnell sert. the maller band opens up and then wait for the headline act. do you find it strange that springstein opened for jay-toss make jay-z the bigger act? >> greg: he is the bigger act. average age of springstein fan is 87. >> bob: 18,000, that is a huge crowd. >> dana: buck county with 30,000. challengers get bigger crowd on the weekend. give romney credit, they have big turn-outs,...
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i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be spending a lot of good times. >> here it is. that's what we're missing here. new hampshire over to there. >> new hampshire. >> and then we have it. >> thank you so much, chuck. >> bye now. >> chuck and the magic map. up next, mayor antonio villaraigosa in florida today, and house majority leader eric cantor from virginia, live from democracy plaza only here on msnbc. [ female announcer ] the humana walmart-preferred rx plan p-d-p gives you a low national plan premium... so you can focus on what really matters. call humana at 1-800-808-4003. colin powell: yes. when he took ove
i know it takes iowa and nevada. here it is. there it is. >> iowa, nevada have to get in there and we've got five more somewhere else. it's the swap of colorado. is it that? well. >> where do you have new hampshire? i can't see from here? >> we'll have to figure it out. it was off. this is what happens when we're missing it. the math is there. >> we'll take a break, we know it's there, the math is there. 269/269s. >> that's a nightmare. >> some say we'll be...
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florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground states. they are down confidence in the obama campaign and don't get too much dispute out of the romney campaign that they will win the state of nevada. then they come to the midwest where you are. they are most confident in the midwest they will carry again. i know republicans watching are saying they'll prove you wrong. they're confident about the state of iowa. that would get the president to 259. takes 270 win. when you ask them about these battleground states, they say they're most confidence about ohio, where you are. the president took that game over. no republicans w
florida, virginia, wisconsin, colorado, iowa, new hampshire and nevada. joining me here in ohio is john avlon. he has been traveling the state aboard the cnn election express bus. i'm also joined by john king in washington, d.c. the electoral college map, how does it add up right now? >> when you talk to the two campaigns, it's as if even though it's one country, they live in parallel universes. both saying they will win tomorrow. the president is ahead in most of the key battleground...
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connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all for the president? >> and not think the voters blame presidents for gas prices. and has been going down. he does have a strong commitment to renewable energy. i think it is awash. >> the hispanic vote turns out. thank you for coming on today governor richardson. dagen: the all-time high by $0.3 per is close. brett baier is here. >> good morning. dagen: what will you look at tonight's the people will not talking about turn out to and states? >> we will have an early sense with virginia at 7:00 p.m. we will have exit poll numbers to give us a sense with ed dead heat depending on ho
connell: you think nevada colorado go to obama and he still wins ohio? >> yes. i am not perfect but the hispanic vote, obviously the storm is a massive tragedy to slow the governor's momentum. the president looked presidential. those two factors will make the difference. connell: looking at the possibilipossibili ty is the rest of the hour but the economic course 10 the former energy secretary, gas prices every day at the all-time high on election day. that have a negative effect at all...
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they say those new voters plus apparent early voting leads in ohio, florida, iowa and nevada will put them over the top. mr. obama told a crowd of 23,000 in hollywood, florida, it's all up to them now. >> you know what i believe, you know where i stand. and you know that no matter what happens, i'll fight for you and your family every single day as hard as i know how. >> reporter: president obama will spend the last day of his last campaign in three midwest states, iowa, ohio and wisconsin. he said today that at this stage in the race he is merely a prop. and that the real stars of this drama are his get out the vote teams and the voters themselves, jeff. >> jeff: nancy, thank you. jan crawford now is with governor romney in pennsylvania. >> two more days! two more days and we can get to work rebuilding our country! >> two more days! >> reporter: in the crucial state of ohio, romney talked today in sweeping language about a brighter future. >> two more days we start rebuilding our country and restoring our confidence and renewing our conviction. confidence that we're in a solid path t
they say those new voters plus apparent early voting leads in ohio, florida, iowa and nevada will put them over the top. mr. obama told a crowd of 23,000 in hollywood, florida, it's all up to them now. >> you know what i believe, you know where i stand. and you know that no matter what happens, i'll fight for you and your family every single day as hard as i know how. >> reporter: president obama will spend the last day of his last campaign in three midwest states, iowa, ohio and...
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nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your o map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree about. >> again, if you believe the turn-out miles that most poll show, obama would win by 300. five states. >> yeah. >> colorado, iowa, virginia, ohio, new hampshire. otherwise we agree. when we're forced to -- >> wrap up with this. we do this ipad app. >> so we want to pick some closest. the closeest to karl is mark alcott who had the same map. if you put it up, we will send mark something. what are we sending anymore >> out graphed copy of my book. >> okay. there you go. >> i'm sending one to him, too. closest to joe's map is alex tomp kins. >> he agrees with me on e
nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your o map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree...
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nevada both close at 10:00. the president has a small but steady lead there. as the numbers are coming in maybe you can help determine who is going to win. >>> how will they resinate with viewers? >> the two closing arguments i would rather be making the type of one that romney is making than the one that president obama is making. the president is burdened by a record he has basically not done what he said he would do. that is a huge problem for him. so necessarily there is a larger component to dump it on the other guy in his closing argument than it is in romney. romney talking about hope and change. that's what obama said four years ago. that's a more uplifting final argument to make. romney looks happier and comfortable with himself making it. the president seems a little weary a little horse and glad to have this over with. i think that's what romney is doing and saying may be a little more attractive. >> if the president does lose reelection what would be the reason? bill o'reilly has his take on that a little bit lart. >> it is time to brew on this. he
nevada both close at 10:00. the president has a small but steady lead there. as the numbers are coming in maybe you can help determine who is going to win. >>> how will they resinate with viewers? >> the two closing arguments i would rather be making the type of one that romney is making than the one that president obama is making. the president is burdened by a record he has basically not done what he said he would do. that is a huge problem for him. so necessarily there is a...
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i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election day. we have advantage on the early vote. we've done significant work with voter registration in that state. we're close in florida. again, significant advantage on early vote. and done a lot of work on voter registration. >> can i run that through the universal political translator and say you're most worried about north carolina and florida? >> those are your words. >> let me bring in david gergen. he's also got a question. >> stephanie, good to see you. tell us what three things we should be looking for tomorrow night as a sense of which way it's going. what are you going to be looking for? >
i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election...
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in nevada, north carolina, and here in battleground swing state of ohio. we're in the lorain county board of elections. they are not having problems here. but marion county, ohio, a woman said it happened to her. her name is joan stevens and she said he is voted for romney, up popped obama's name. did it again. three times se said until she was able to cast a correct ballot. >> i did know if it happened to anybody else or not but this is the first time in all the years we voted this has ever happened to me. >> election officials there say there is no problem. they blame human error that people bang the machine. secretary of state ofness ross miller tells us it's nearly technically impossible to preprogram the machines that similar allegations have been without merit. joan says check your vote. >> bret: keep pressing or let somebody know. >> exactly. paper trail, too, so check that also. >> okay. >> bret: thank you. a lot of things that were turned off and shut down because of hurricane sandy are back on tonight. we have two reports beginning with correspon
in nevada, north carolina, and here in battleground swing state of ohio. we're in the lorain county board of elections. they are not having problems here. but marion county, ohio, a woman said it happened to her. her name is joan stevens and she said he is voted for romney, up popped obama's name. did it again. three times se said until she was able to cast a correct ballot. >> i did know if it happened to anybody else or not but this is the first time in all the years we voted this has...
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statewide polls differ on who was ahead in colorado and i what it should obama with a single digit lead in nevada and wisconsin. eight of nine surveys are the past week and a crucial ohio give obama a narrow edge. and we will be focusing on a violator in today's "washington journal." and our swing state series. we want to hear from voters and not-swing states. we want to hear how the election is playing out how you are. and this from the baltimore sun, charging more the candidates will go in the next couple days. ting where the candidates will go in the next couple days. again, the candidates focusing all of their attention in the days leading up to election day on as swing states. we will go to david and the kentucky on the democratic line. tell us a little bit about how the campaign is playing out in the kentucky, one of the non- swing states. caller: it is mostly just romney signs of here, not many obama signs. i think you will landslide ky. the polls show that. and i hate to say it, but even the preachers are preaching against obama and the pulpit. host: are you motivated to got to the polls?
statewide polls differ on who was ahead in colorado and i what it should obama with a single digit lead in nevada and wisconsin. eight of nine surveys are the past week and a crucial ohio give obama a narrow edge. and we will be focusing on a violator in today's "washington journal." and our swing state series. we want to hear from voters and not-swing states. we want to hear how the election is playing out how you are. and this from the baltimore sun, charging more the candidates...
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but in the other states that you see, nevada colorado florida, and virginia we are still waiting and we are ve open to the results of an concession speech maybe people should stay in line now to win the popular vote as well as the ee lk torllectoral vote. >> we stay in the line anyway. >> we agr stay electoral vote tally according to the projections of the various states are 274 for barack obama and 3 for mitt romney. vb49/49 with only a couple hundred thousand votes between the two candidates. we're going to take a quick break. comments are expected from mitt romney. now with the romney campaign refusing to concede ohio w to happen. we'll keep you posted. we'll be right back. cf:$ >>>arack obama. still up in theve. colorado for president obama. steve schmidt, what do you think? this is one more move towards maybe not needing ohio. >> this is another state whenp& you look at the numbers in colorado see the impacti mitt romney in a very bad way in that state. republicans had high hopes in colorado. >> we're getting all of this now and we still haven't heard from virginia yet and we ha
but in the other states that you see, nevada colorado florida, and virginia we are still waiting and we are ve open to the results of an concession speech maybe people should stay in line now to win the popular vote as well as the ee lk torllectoral vote. >> we stay in the line anyway. >> we agr stay electoral vote tally according to the projections of the various states are 274 for barack obama and 3 for mitt romney. vb49/49 with only a couple hundred thousand votes between the two...
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here is nevada with its six electoral votes. he took nevada. he took colorado. paul ryan spent a lot of time in colorado really hoping that the republicans have been hoping to get that and they didn't. there's iowa. wisconsin. ohio with its 18. new hampshire. then florida. we are still waiting for. that's how the president got to 303. he needed 270. even though we have not called florida yet, mitt romney can't get over the top. >> right now the president is leading in the vote count in florida by miami-dade county as they suspended counting overnight. they will start counting in a few hours ago. the president is ahead there and could pick that up, too. >> these two states he lost. those are reliably republican territory until last time when the president turned them. he lost them this time but had all the swing states, 303 electoral votes. >> the president won north carolina by 14,000 votes four years ago. this time it was still pretty close. it was interest that a lot of people thought north carolina would be a blowout for mitt romney. it was not. they didn't c
here is nevada with its six electoral votes. he took nevada. he took colorado. paul ryan spent a lot of time in colorado really hoping that the republicans have been hoping to get that and they didn't. there's iowa. wisconsin. ohio with its 18. new hampshire. then florida. we are still waiting for. that's how the president got to 303. he needed 270. even though we have not called florida yet, mitt romney can't get over the top. >> right now the president is leading in the vote count in...
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as this county goes, so goes nevada! ah! >> in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. >> this better be a very close election. >> reporter: the stratosphere, like every place in vegas, suffered among some of the worst in nevada. >> the nevada landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades, including a new restaurant, and, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. >> do you think las vegas is through the worst of it? >> it feels like it. you know, i drive to work every day, and i see stuff going on that i haven't seen for a little while. >> reporter: things like construction and homes being built in a place that once had the nation's highest foreclosure rate. >> how many durn dirns were you doing at the low point, and how many now? >> 250 to 400, and now between 450 and 700 a night. >> oh woushgs. >> big recovery. >> this is an important state. you know, clark county especially. >> comedy icon and clark county voter louie anderson who does four shows a week
as this county goes, so goes nevada! ah! >> in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. >> this better be a very close election. >> reporter: the stratosphere, like every place in vegas, suffered among some of the worst in nevada. >> the nevada landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades, including a new restaurant, and, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. >> do you think las vegas is...
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places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big story after election day. >> if romney loses, they will look at the recriminations -- >> if he loses. >> what would be the debate in the democratic party if the president of the united states were to lose? >> when either side loses, liberals say the democrat wasn't liberal enough. conservatives always say he wasn't conservative enough. i think a lot of democrats would say, one, that obama missed his opportunity in 2009, wasn't aggressive enough on the economy, shouldn't have pursued health care. i don't know if that's the correct analysis. but a lot of people
places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big...
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president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think there's a sense that florida might be moving in romney's direction. structurally, that's always been the most problematic of the battleground states for obama. and if i were betting, i would bet romney carries florida. >> and we're hearing from the romney side that there's a bit of a head fake there. >> it may be. what a lot of strategists have told me is if you're going to make a play for a state, you need to do it at least three weeks before election day. so one week out, not even a full week, makes it tough. it might be too little too late for mitt romney where they are spending a lot of money at this last minute. but they
president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think...
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and the last of the battleground poll closings, iowa and nevada will begin at 10:00 eastern time. john king is at our election center. break down the math. what are you watching tonight? >> well, erin, you're sitting in ground zero of the presidential election. here is where we begin election day in america. the president at 237 electoral votes, strong and leading. that's the blue on theap lileang, dk blue strong. governor romney, 206, dark red strong, light red leaning his way. pretty safe in these assessments. we'll watch pennsylvania, michigan. assuming this is the line jump going in, let me give you a scenario, the obama campaign is confident about nevada among the tossups. they're confident about wisconsin. republicans watching are saying we'll prove you wrong. but let's go through the hypothetical. iowa as well, the republicif th won those three of the battlegrounds, that gets him to 259. in the romney campaign, they think they're going to win florida. the democrats say, no, we'll prove you wrong here, let's in this hypothetical give governor romney florida. colorado, won of
and the last of the battleground poll closings, iowa and nevada will begin at 10:00 eastern time. john king is at our election center. break down the math. what are you watching tonight? >> well, erin, you're sitting in ground zero of the presidential election. here is where we begin election day in america. the president at 237 electoral votes, strong and leading. that's the blue on theap lileang, dk blue strong. governor romney, 206, dark red strong, light red leaning his way. pretty...
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. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> brown wins. does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue? give it to blue? >> i don't know. >> we'll put it there for now. we can change it back. that gets us through the presidential toss-ups. let's go to the red states if you will. these are a ton of great senate races, let's start with arizona. >> flake wins. >> flake wins. >> montana, that's scary. everybody, both sides say it's really too close. >> the libertarian candidate is going to make the winning number. it could. >> i guess he gets a couple. this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> north dakota, i think berg wins. it's very,
. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> brown wins. does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue?...
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. >> and i have nevada in there. you live on the border of nevada and california. demographically gone for the republicans right now? >> this is a state that republicans should have won if we had the same hispanic turnout of the vote percentage under president bush, under john mccain. mitt romney would be ahead in nevada. it's not the case. president obama is going to win nevada. >> anybody here think the president will lose iowa? >> i think he's going to win iowa. and i changed my opinion on that. i thought he was going to lose iowa. >> you believe iowa. where do you fall? >> the president. >> look what this does here. this puts -- we put it up to 259 so th so then he's is 11 away. anybody thinks he's going to win florida? so you give romney this, florida. colorado, i think it will be the closest state in the country. >> i agree. >> where does it go? >> romney. >> romney wins. >> really close but romney. >> it might all come down to ohio. >> it may. and virginia we have sitting he here. so this could mean to me as a realistic scenario and i won't make you force th
. >> and i have nevada in there. you live on the border of nevada and california. demographically gone for the republicans right now? >> this is a state that republicans should have won if we had the same hispanic turnout of the vote percentage under president bush, under john mccain. mitt romney would be ahead in nevada. it's not the case. president obama is going to win nevada. >> anybody here think the president will lose iowa? >> i think he's going to win iowa. and i...
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>> looking at nevada, we talked about the third district and the fourth district, which was drawn and assumed democrats would win it. the republican is in the game. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is that type of district democrat should be winning in need to win in order to do well. overall on election night i will be watching the seats that republicans better republicans favored or even been republican. that is how far down our competitive races. democrats have to start winning and defeating republican members in order to get close to the majority. for not winning those heavily- republican seats, they will not have enough. look at the balance of power and where the president is strong and where mitt romney is strong. >> the most impact is seen with the presidential race i think has already happened. i know in talking to democrats that are watching the races, the first debate was fundamentally important, not just because it shifted the presidential race, but because it was a time when house candidates registered to go on television tried to prove moderate credentials. the
>> looking at nevada, we talked about the third district and the fourth district, which was drawn and assumed democrats would win it. the republican is in the game. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is that type of district democrat should be winning in need to win in order to do well. overall on election night i will be watching the seats that republicans better republicans favored or even been republican. that is how far down our competitive races. democrats have to start...
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the polls will be closing at 10:00 o'clock in nevada and montana, 10:00 o'clock eastern time, nevada is the home of leader harry reid, and dean heller in nevada as well. an appointed person to the sea, trying to hold onto that seat there from a strong challenge by congresswoman shelley berkley. that deal the one thank you very much. just about 30 seconds away from the next state closing. iowa, nevada, utah. lou: it looks like a night in which
the polls will be closing at 10:00 o'clock in nevada and montana, 10:00 o'clock eastern time, nevada is the home of leader harry reid, and dean heller in nevada as well. an appointed person to the sea, trying to hold onto that seat there from a strong challenge by congresswoman shelley berkley. that deal the one thank you very much. just about 30 seconds away from the next state closing. iowa, nevada, utah. lou: it looks like a night in which
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he could also get nevada or iowa. that's six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the polls? >> well of course he's -- he's tied in virginia behind in wisconsin, tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado as well. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today, going to northern ohio cleveland and then going to western pennsylvania which is covered in southern ohio. so the pennsylvania visit is not so much about pennsylvania. it's a little bit about getting both media markets at the top and bottom of ohio. >> how common is it guys to campaign on election day and how effective is it. >> al gore in 2000. he went all around this country campaigning until the last minute. george bush took that day off and the day before largely off. >> it's more a sign i'm coming more important than i'm here. you want to say, here look at me. i'm pulling out every stop to make
he could also get nevada or iowa. that's six states he would have to win if he loses ohio. >> how many of those six states is he behind today according to the polls? >> well of course he's -- he's tied in virginia behind in wisconsin, tied in new hampshire. he's ahead in north carolina. nevada and iowa which would be crucial to that last piece, tied in colorado as well. >> which is why the governor is going to ohio today, going to northern ohio cleveland and then going to...
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he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte. he's been a campaigner. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president relies on. if the president wins re-election, i'm convinced bill clinton's next job will be to help the president sell a budget deal to democrats who may not want to go along. that's almost a tougher job than getting the president re-elected. >> are you worried about the voter suppression that is taking place in ohio? it seems to be much more intense in ohio. much more organized, county to county, it looks like they have really done a job. the numbers are down. for instanc
he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte....
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what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is they are at 248. then you look at ohio which i think the early vote numbers are clear indication of of what is going to happen in ohio. that s another 18 electoral votes. and then colorado which is, you know, is in the rcp average just under water, 9/10 of a percent. but that is largely because of a couple of outliar polls that have huge numbers more democrats than republicans. i think we are going to win colorado and that gets you 275. and we are going to pick up out of ohio, new hampshire, nevada or minnesota, pennsylvania or wisconsin we are going to pick
what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is...
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>> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does this race break today? fair and balanced debate on that in a moment. martha: a handful of swing states that will likely determine the outcome of this election. which states fall into that category and why? bill: the race seems to be tightening by the day. why does one political analyst predict a landslide. >> you watched what happened in this country the last four years with an interview. you hope that president obama would live up with his promise to bring people together, to solve the big problems. he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] but don't just listen to me. listen to these happy progress
>> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does...